Joshua Pollard, who accurately predicted future home price declines. Shiller slipping from comfortable double digit YoY price gains to under 6% for August and further slowing expected. San.

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But the projection on the first graph of close to 25% in further real price declines. home prices, notably cash back to buyers at closing. Thus, contract prices did not reflect real costs to buyers.

If we back the data out a bit further, the outperformance of housing prices becomes even more apparent. Real housing prices — essentially home price increases with inflation backed out — have risen by 25% just since 2012, and are now sitting at their highest point since the Great Recession.

“It’ll be a salve for a lot of U.S. households if we continue to see. declines of 0.8 percent to 2.6 percent. The Case-Shiller index is based on a three-month average, which means the May data was.

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New home sales are drawn from permits and tend to be volatile on a month-to-month basis. Sales fell 3.7% from a year ago. The median new house price declined 2.7% from a year ago to $308,000 in May.

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There is room for home prices to decline another 10% to 25% in real terms over the next five years, according to Shiller. Shiller sees scope for further home price declines up to 25% Sign In

Shiller sees risk of further steep declines. He also cited the discussion in Washington about the possibility of phasing out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and reducing tax breaks for home owners. "Bouncing along the bottom sounds optimistic to me," Shiller said. "My intuition rates the probability of another 15%, 20%,

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The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price national index recorded a 16.6% decline in the third quarter compared with the same period a year ago. That eclipsed the previous record of 15.1% set during the.

The chart on the previous page depicts the annual returns of the U.S. National, the 10-City Composite and the 20-City Composite Home Price Indices. The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, which covers all nine U.S. census divisions, recorded a 5.1% decline in the first quarter of 2011 over the first quarter of 2010.

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 · More recently, the Case-Shiller index for the New York region in December 2009 showed a year-over-year decline of 6.3 percent for average prices, while.